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Risk Management

Posts on risk management for your stocks and assets.

Palantir Like World Monitor - Open Source

Palantir Like World Monitor - Open Source

- Posted in Risk Management by

This is like what Palantir offers the government.  However, this World Monitor is open source and available for download. 

Thought folks would find this interesting. I have not tried it yet.

  • 500+ curated news feeds across 15 categories, AI-synthesized into briefs

  • Dual map engine — 3D globe (globe.gl) and WebGL flat map (deck.gl)
    with 56 map layer types

  • Cross-stream correlation — military, economic, disaster, and
    escalation signal convergence

  • Country Instability Index (CII) — server-authoritative CII v8 stress scoring for 31 Tier-1 countries

  • Finance radar — 29 stock exchanges, commodities, crypto, and 7-signal market composite

  • Local AI — run everything with Ollama, no API keys required

  • 6 site variants from a single codebase (world, tech, finance,
    commodity, happy, energy)

  • Native desktop app (Tauri 2) for macOS, Windows, and Linux

  • 25 languages with native-language feeds and RTL support

For the full feature list, architecture, data sources, and algorithms, see the documentation.

Available here → https://github.com/koala73/worldmonitor

To get started: git clone the repo, npm install, npm run dev. That's it. No environment variables required out of the box.

It is fully open source under AGPL-3.0, so you can self-host it, fork it, or build on top of it.

Gov Shutdown - Short term and long term markets

- Posted in Risk Management by

As odds of a US gov shutdown climb to ~80%, capitulation by crypto critic Vanguard raises red flags 🐻🚩 Latest From The Q Engine:

+1-2 Month Traders 🐂Bullish/Buy Tech (MSFT,SAP,CRWD), MOS, WM, COIN, SO, TUR, KSA, RTX. 🐻Bearish/Sell US Housing (HD,WOOD,XHB), Health/Pharma (UNH,IBB,XLV), EM/Muni Bonds (EMB,TFI), GOOG, TM.

+1-2 Year Investors 🐂Bullish/Buy Basic Materials (REMX,ALB), Energy (BTU,TAN,NLR), LatAm (EWW,ILF), EWY, VNM, TM. 🐻Bearish/Sell Crypto (MARA,COIN,BTC), US Financials (WFC,XLF,JPM), Transports (JETS,IYT), HD, DIS.

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More On Markets: https://lnkd.in/eJhpBvyn On Vanguard: https://lnkd.in/eFNjSJFJ

Nvidia and Your Retirement Account - Warning

- Posted in Risk Management by

Giving a heads up here. If you have large retirement accounts, it would be good to check the index funds you are invested in right now.

Here are the current weightings of the S&P 500 index.

https://www.slickcharts.com/sp500

Top 3 below:

1 Microsoft Corp MSFT 7.02%   

2 Apple Inc. AAPL 6.99%   

3 Nvidia Corp NVDA 6.27%

If you are heavily invested in a S&P 500 index fund, 20% of your holdings are in these three stocks.

All 3 are fantastic companies, but extremely overvalued. Especially Nvidia, which is reminiscent of Cisco Systems during the 2000 tech bubble.

If you have $100K in a S&P index fund, then $20,000 of which would be in these three companies.

You may also have some overlap from other funds.

Chart wise, Nivdia is looking bearish short term ~2 months.

Given that, I don’t know what these stocks will do tomorrow, next week or next month. They could always go higher. This post is so that you are aware of what is in your retirement account and if you are currently comfortable with this allocation.

If not comfortable, it would not be a bad time to re-adjust.

Retail Investing Versus the Pros on Risk Management

- Posted in Risk Management by

Great interview with George Gammon. One note I wanted to call out around the 50 minute mark. George talks about what the pros do versus retail investing.

Watch the interview here:

..most retail investors I would argue spend 99% of their time trying to figure out what to buy or what not to buy and they spend 1% of their time on the portfolio management the money management or the risk management and from what I can tell the pros do the exact opposite

It's worth watching the entire interview.

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