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Is now when Covid19 death curve steepens? - Printable Version

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Is now when Covid19 death curve steepens? - silverfish - 03-26-2020

https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8156339/UKs-coronavirus-death-toll-jumps-474.html

I was expecting to see the curve steepen sharply in the first week of April, but it seems to have started already?

What are numbers like where you are?


RE: Is now when Covid19 death curve steepens? - DaveGillie - 03-26-2020

(03-26-2020, 06:49 PM)silverfish Wrote: https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article-8156339/UKs-coronavirus-death-toll-jumps-474.html

I was expecting to see the curve steepen sharply in the first week of April, but it seems to have started already?

What are numbers like where you are?

.
well, silverfish, my impression is yes AND no.
it started already, so it APPEARS to look sharp (now), but geometric increases are confusing........
it has just begun and you will see a much sharper increase in April first week, may be second also.


this is my State, seems we're a week or so behind you
https://public.tableau.com/profile/jared#!/vizhome/shared/SMJXDF727







I'm confused, I would think a disease with 3 to 10 incubation period should slow down after a week or two of quarantine,
but NO, my trusted advisors tell me that the worst peak will be a MONTH after the shut down, and after that the slow down or decrease (and even then, only if the shut down was effective).


RE: Is now when Covid19 death curve steepens? - andrew_o - 03-26-2020

Plot it on a log scale and it should look like a straight line initially.


RE: Is now when Covid19 death curve steepens? - aqua - 03-26-2020

There is a graph here (but I wasn't able to link Tao to it.


https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/


RE: Is now when Covid19 death curve steepens? - andrew_o - 03-27-2020

Here you go. Global status update:

https://www.covidvisualizer.com/?fbclid=IwAR2gvUUURjAOqevYFLypAo7LsN1BG2sYR-HR-winVdfh5DeKsP1PWG6V1L8

with nice graphics


RE: Is now when Covid19 death curve steepens? - silverfish - 03-28-2020

Chart here.
https://ourworldindata.org/grapher/daily-deaths-covid-19