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Full Version: Is now when Covid19 death curve steepens?
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https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...s-474.html

I was expecting to see the curve steepen sharply in the first week of April, but it seems to have started already?

What are numbers like where you are?
(03-26-2020, 06:49 PM)silverfish Wrote: [ -> ]https://www.dailymail.co.uk/news/article...s-474.html

I was expecting to see the curve steepen sharply in the first week of April, but it seems to have started already?

What are numbers like where you are?

.
well, silverfish, my impression is yes AND no.
it started already, so it APPEARS to look sharp (now), but geometric increases are confusing........
it has just begun and you will see a much sharper increase in April first week, may be second also.


this is my State, seems we're a week or so behind you
https://public.tableau.com/profile/jared.../SMJXDF727







I'm confused, I would think a disease with 3 to 10 incubation period should slow down after a week or two of quarantine,
but NO, my trusted advisors tell me that the worst peak will be a MONTH after the shut down, and after that the slow down or decrease (and even then, only if the shut down was effective).
Plot it on a log scale and it should look like a straight line initially.
There is a graph here (but I wasn't able to link Tao to it.


https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/country/us/
Here you go. Global status update:

https://www.covidvisualizer.com/?fbclid=...P1PWG6V1L8

with nice graphics